John | 曲

Reflection in Transition

贝贝60秒:如果失败是死在哪里

曲政 / 2019-05-01


今天是贝贝报告给你的第 62 天
2019-05-01 WED

如果这个项目失败了,会是什么原因呢?

要死还不容易,比如说我中了采票,或者发现没人需要它,或者利乐控告我企图对他们的机构作逆向工程。当然这是开玩笑的。

严肃地说,我发觉有三个大风险,会导致这个项目失败。

第一,问题太难,超过我的技术能力范围。程序不通,数学不懂,这不是中人如我能插手的问题。

第二,用时太长,超过我的家庭供养容量。游荡日久,收入全无,这不是有家的人可玩味的问题。

第三,攻坚太烦,超过我的保持注意定力。眼热机会,垂涎技术,这不是多变狐狸该死嗑的问题。

目前来看,三个风险中,第三个的可能性最大。

If this project failed finally, what were the reasons?

There are many reasons to end this project, such as I won a lottery, or I found nobody needs it, or Tetra Pak sued me for trying to reverse-engineer their mechanism. That's just joking. Seriously speaking, I see three significant risks that cause this project to fail.

First, it is too hard for my ability to solve this problem technically because I lack the knowledge of mathematics and programming.

Second, it is too long a time for my family to let me swimming on this problem without any incomes. I need to sell my time for other profitable projects.

Third, it is too dull for my spirit to focus on this issue, and I turn to other impressive technology and try to fetch other chances, leaving this problem with an open ending.

Among those three significant risks, the third one has the highest possibility.